Liberal Forum

Johnny You » Yesterday, 4:35 pm » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 4:35 pm

You really should try to get of the short bus Gator. You are trying to tell me every farmer bought all the fertilizer it needs for the season because they knew a war was coming that would impact the price of the fertilizer?   C'mon man..   Please prove to us you are not this stupid... CC   @Blackvegetable.   It may all be in store in  wharehouses. I assume there is some kind of distribution chain and it is disrupted.   We have a trade deficit on fertilizer. We import more than we export. I dont know the share of domestic.   It's complicated man.  You shrug it off because you want to believe it is not a probelm.  And the dimension of diesel you didnt even think about. 

Yes, U.S. fertilizer prices have recently surged, with all eight major fertilizers showing price increases by early 2026 compared to previous months, following a volatile period. Key nitrogen fertilizers like urea and anhydrous ammonia have seen substantial jumps, driven by geopolitical conflicts affecting global supplies, such as unrest in the Middle East. 
AgWeb
AgWeb
 +4
Significant Recent Spikes: As of March 2026, urea prices increased by 71% in 90 days, with anhydrous ammonia and UAN also rising sharply, creating a "worst-case scenario" for spring planting.
Persistent High Costs: While prices dropped from 2022 peaks, they remained roughly twice as high as pre-pandemic levels, leading to high volatility in 2025 and 2026.
Key Drivers: Recent price increases are driven by geopolitical risks (e.g., in the Middle East, such as the Strait of Hormuz conflict), Chinese export controls on phosphorus, and ongoing energy market fluctuations affecting nitrogen production.
Impact on Farmers: The increased costs, combined with lower crop prices, have significantly tightened farming margins and caused concerns about high input costs for the 2026 season. 
American Farm Bureau Federation
American Farm Bureau Federation
 +7